Pond Settlement leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Pond Settlement typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pond Settlement, ~21% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pond Settlement compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pond Settlement leans more Republican than 26 of 55 neighbors.
Pond Settlement runs about 52 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Pond Settlement is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Pond Settlement. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+49) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+24), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Pond Settlement leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pond Settlement, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Pond Settlement live in densely developed areas, about 34 points below the New York average of 36%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Pond Settlement fits that profile on both counts. Pond Settlement runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Pond Settlement, NY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Pond Settlement looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Pond Settlement is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 96% of households in Pond Settlement own their home, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Pond Settlement have completed high school, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Harrisville, NY R+49
- Lake Bonaparte, NY R+54
- Pitcairn, NY R+43
- Geers Corners, NY R+47
- Fullerville, NY R+44
- Indian River, NY R+52
- Balmat, NY R+44
- South Edwards, NY R+39
- Natural Bridge, NY R+40
- Fine, NY R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Childwold, NY R+16
- Irving, IA R+42
- Pontoon, AR R+49
- Lynndyl, UT R+71
- Desert Lake, CA R+45
- Snow, OK R+77
- Grant, MT R+63
- South Corinth, NY R+31
- Brummitt, AR R+69
- Montana, AR R+60
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.