Lake City is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Lake City typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lake City, ~10% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lake City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lake City leans more Republican than 33 of 71 neighbors.
Lake City runs about 36 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Lake City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lake City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 90% of residents in Lake City drive to work alone, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lake City, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Lake City looks the way it does
Turnout in Lake City sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lunsford, AR R+68
- Needham, AR R+58
- Monette, AR R+61
- Caraway, AR R+69
- Elm Grove, AR R+65
- Black Oak, AR R+65
- Cottonwood Corner, AR R+60
- Bay, AR R+64
- Walters, AR R+70
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ozona, TX R+38
- Westfield, WI R+35
- Crystal Falls, MI R+24
- Darlington, PA R+48
- Elko, MN R+34
- Carbon Hill, AL R+79
- Long Neck, DE R+20
- Malmstrom Air Force Base, MT R+39
- Highlandville, MO R+65
- Como, WI R+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.