Lake City leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Lake City typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lake City, ~22% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lake City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lake City leans more Republican than 9 of 26 neighbors.
Lake City runs about 21 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Lake City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lake City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in Lake City drive to work alone, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Lake City, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Lake City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lake City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 22%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 10%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mathis, TX R+21
- Sandia, TX R+60
- San Patricio, TX R+59
- Mount Lucas, TX R+74
- Tynan, TX R+56
- Orange Grove, TX R+54
- Sandy Hollow-Escondidas, TX R+69
- Hubert, TX R+55
- West Sinton, TX R+42
- Edroy, TX R+46
Cities with Similar Populations
- Vermilion, IL R+59
- Hedgesville, NY R+61
- Middle Brook, MO R+64
- Scranton, NC R+42
- Atwood, OK R+72
- Newtonville, AL R+65
- Everest, KS R+59
- Rock Hill, LA R+71
- Tarsney Lakes, MO R+43
- Slocum, RI Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.