Lake Hamilton, AR Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Lake Hamilton

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Lake Hamilton is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.

 

About 56% of adults in Lake Hamilton typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lake Hamilton, ~11% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Lake Hamilton compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Lake Hamilton leans more Republican than 33 of 56 neighbors.

Lake Hamilton runs about 32 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lake Hamilton. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+70) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+59), a spread of about 11 points.

Why Lake Hamilton leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lake Hamilton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 12% of adults in Lake Hamilton hold a bachelor's degree, about 5 points below the Arkansas average of 18%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 86% of residents in Lake Hamilton drive to work alone, above 84% of cities. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Lake Hamilton are family households, above 86% of cities.

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Lake Hamilton, AR sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Lake Hamilton looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 33% of households in Lake Hamilton rent, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 84% of adults in Lake Hamilton have completed high school, below 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.