Lake Shore leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Lake Shore typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lake Shore, ~22% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lake Shore compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lake Shore leans more Republican than 25 of 34 neighbors.
Lake Shore runs about 48 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Lake Shore is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Lake Shore leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lake Shore, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lake Shore votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Lake Shore runs about 48 points more Republican.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lake Shore, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lake Shore looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lake Shore is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Lake Shore own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Lake Shore have completed high school, above 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Nisswa, MN R+24
- East Gull Lake, MN R+34
- Pequot Lakes, MN R+33
- Lake Hubert, MN R+33
- Jenkins, MN R+46
- Breezy Point, MN R+33
- Merrifield, MN R+32
- Baxter, MN R+19
- Sylvan, MN R+36
- Riverton, MN R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Port Jefferson, OH R+64
- Ware Place, SC R+67
- Laurel, NY R+7
- Stewardson, IL R+65
- Marietta, WA D+41
- Buffalo, KY R+63
- Pine Hall, NC R+52
- Pittsfield, PA R+55
- Buxton, NC R+33
- Beckemeyer, IL R+52
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.