Lakewood Ranch leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 89% of adults in Lakewood Ranch typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lakewood Ranch, ~34% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lakewood Ranch compares
Lakewood Ranch runs about 11 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Lakewood Ranch leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lakewood Ranch, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican, and Lakewood Ranch sits in the bottom quarter on developed land relative to similar places. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Lakewood Ranch are family households, above 76% of neighborhoods.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Lakewood Ranch, Bradenton, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lakewood Ranch looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lakewood Ranch is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Lakewood Ranch have completed high school, above 89% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- The Meadows, Sarasota, FL R+7
- Samoset, Bradenton, FL D+20
- Oneco, Bradenton, FL R+7
- Amaryllis Park, Sarasota, FL D+63
- Bayou Oaks, Sarasota, FL D+17
- Park East, Sarasota, FL D+13
- Downtown Bradenton, Bradenton, FL D+22
- Bay Shore Gardens, Bayshore Gardens, FL R+18
- Arlington Park, Sarasota, FL Even
- Cortez, Bradenton, FL R+23
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Buckroe, Hampton, VA D+27
- North Park, Buffalo, NY D+48
- Kahaluu, Kaneohe, HI D+21
- whitehall, Pittsburgh, PA D+8
- El Camino Real, Irvine, CA D+10
- Baymeadows, Jacksonville, FL D+14
- Central Beaverton, Beaverton, OR D+48
- Canton, Baltimore, MD D+58
- John Barrow, Little Rock, AR D+65
- Album Park, El Paso, TX D+19
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.