Arlington Park is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Arlington Park typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arlington Park, ~38% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arlington Park compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Arlington Park sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 1 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 3 leaning the other way.
Arlington Park runs about 14 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Arlington Park sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Arlington Park. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Arlington Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arlington Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Arlington Park votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Arlington Park runs about 14 points more Democratic.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Arlington Park, Sarasota, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Arlington Park looks the way it does
Turnout in Arlington Park sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Park East, Sarasota, FL D+13
- Amaryllis Park, Sarasota, FL D+63
- Bayou Oaks, Sarasota, FL D+17
- The Meadows, Sarasota, FL R+7
- Bay Shore Gardens, Bayshore Gardens, FL R+18
- Oneco, Bradenton, FL R+7
- Samoset, Bradenton, FL D+20
- Lakewood Ranch, Bradenton, FL R+24
- Downtown Bradenton, Bradenton, FL D+22
- Cortez, Bradenton, FL R+23
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- West Gate, Columbus, OH D+27
- Camp Curtin, Harrisburg, PA D+73
- Bennington, Vancouver, WA D+19
- Atlanta-Inman Park, Atlanta, GA D+56
- Webster, Orono, ME D+54
- Bartolo Square North, Oxnard, CA D+39
- Evergreen, Everett, WA D+7
- McKnight, Springfield, MA D+55
- Hudson Avenue Historic District, Newark, OH R+24
- Casa Loma, Bakersfield, CA D+20
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.