Cortez leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Cortez typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cortez, ~30% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cortez compares
Cortez runs about 10 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Cortez leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cortez, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Cortez sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 92% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 33 points above the Florida average of 60%.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a low never-married share and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Cortez, Bradenton, FL does.
Why turnout in Cortez looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Cortez is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 57% of neighborhoods. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 86% of households in Cortez own their home, compared to around 57% in nearby neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Bay Shore Gardens, Bayshore Gardens, FL R+18
- Downtown Bradenton, Bradenton, FL D+22
- Oneco, Bradenton, FL R+7
- Samoset, Bradenton, FL D+20
- Bayou Oaks, Sarasota, FL D+17
- Amaryllis Park, Sarasota, FL D+63
- Park East, Sarasota, FL D+13
- Arlington Park, Sarasota, FL Even
- The Meadows, Sarasota, FL R+7
- Lakewood Ranch, Bradenton, FL R+24
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Holy Cross, New Orleans, LA D+77
- Meyer Park, Tempe, AZ D+29
- Beechwood, Parkersburg, WV R+25
- Newmarket South, Newport News, VA D+59
- Carver-Richmond, Richmond, VA D+70
- Corn Hill, Rochester, NY D+62
- Lake Forest, Lake Oswego, OR D+42
- Downtown Carlsbad, Carlsbad, CA D+24
- Historic West-Side, Springfield, IL D+39
- Belaire, San Angelo, TX R+42
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.