El Camino Real leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 71% of adults in El Camino Real typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in El Camino Real, ~39% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How El Camino Real compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, El Camino Real leans more Democratic than 3 of 24 neighbors.
El Camino Real runs about 10 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within El Camino Real. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+16) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+5), a spread of about 12 points.
Why El Camino Real leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for El Camino Real, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in El Camino Real live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and El Camino Real sits in the top quarter (about 59%, above 80% of neighborhoods).
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; El Camino Real, Irvine, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in El Camino Real looks the way it does
Turnout in El Camino Real sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- whitehall, Pittsburgh, PA D+8
- Kahaluu, Kaneohe, HI D+21
- North Park, Buffalo, NY D+48
- Central Beaverton, Beaverton, OR D+48
- Buckroe, Hampton, VA D+27
- Lakewood Ranch, Bradenton, FL R+24
- Canton, Baltimore, MD D+58
- John Barrow, Little Rock, AR D+65
- Album Park, El Paso, TX D+19
- Spring Hill, Somerville, MA D+75
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.