Lancaster leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Lancaster typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lancaster, ~19% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lancaster compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lancaster leans more Republican than 10 of 14 neighbors.
Lancaster runs about 42 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Lancaster is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lancaster. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+45) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+23), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Lancaster leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lancaster, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lancaster votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Lancaster runs about 42 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Lancaster sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 82% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lancaster, MN sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Lancaster looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lancaster is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Lancaster have completed high school, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Orleans, MN R+24
- Noyes, MN R+37
- Hallock, MN R+25
- Lake Bronson, MN R+45
- Humboldt, MN R+23
- Kennedy, MN R+23
- Halma, MN R+45
- Donaldson, MN R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Melbourne, TN R+56
- Bakertown, IN R+60
- Ellis Grove, IL R+61
- Five Forks, KY R+65
- Shorterville, AL R+49
- Christs Rock, MD D+33
- Makaha, HI D+18
- Cito, PA R+70
- Calvin, WV R+62
- Lone Camp, TX R+75
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.