Lariat is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Lariat typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lariat, ~7% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lariat compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lariat leans more Republican than 7 of 9 neighbors.
Lariat runs about 60 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lariat. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+81) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+63), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Lariat leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lariat, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 84% of households in Lariat are family households, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Lariat sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 81% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Lariat, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Lariat looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lariat is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 7 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 32% of households in Lariat rent, above 87% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 80% of adults in Lariat have completed high school, below 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Farwell, TX R+63
- Texico, NM R+59
- Progress, TX R+62
- Muleshoe, TX R+46
- Bovina, TX R+48
- Clovis, NM R+31
- Lazbuddie, TX R+82
- Cannon Air Force Base, NM R+55
- Hollene, NM R+81
- Portales, NM R+32
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zion, WI R+29
- Mission, MN R+32
- Hope, NJ R+32
- Wilton Center, IL R+50
- Dudleytown, IN R+64
- Herndon, WV R+72
- Dubois, GA R+47
- Nebish, MN R+38
- Sugar City, CO R+50
- Forest Grove, FL R+36
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.