Clovis leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Clovis typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Clovis, ~20% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Clovis compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Clovis is the least Republican-leaning.
Clovis runs about 37 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Clovis is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Clovis. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+51) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 42 points.
Why Clovis leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Clovis, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Clovis votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 75%, far above the New Mexico average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Clovis runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Clovis, NM does.
Why turnout in Clovis looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Clovis is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 38% of households in Clovis rent, above 93% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Clovis report food insecurity, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hollene, NM R+81
- Cannon Air Force Base, NM R+55
- Texico, NM R+59
- Ranchvale, NM R+81
- Grier, NM R+73
- Farwell, TX R+63
- St. Vrain, NM R+74
- Lariat, TX R+74
- Portales, NM R+32
- Bovina, TX R+48
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hobbs, NM R+43
- Elmwood Park, IL D+19
- Buda, TX Even
- Parkville, MD D+39
- Laurel, MD D+58
- Golden, CO D+29
- Belleville, MI D+11
- Bear, DE D+32
- Essex, MD D+10
- North Atlanta, GA D+38
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.