Larkin is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Larkin typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Larkin, ~8% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Larkin compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Larkin leans more Republican than 59 of 64 neighbors.
Larkin runs about 40 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Larkin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Larkin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Larkin live in densely developed areas, about 8 points below the Arkansas average of 13%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Larkin, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Larkin looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 21% of adults in Larkin report food insecurity, about 5 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Larkin sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 84% of adults in Larkin have completed high school, below 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Violet Hill, AR R+69
- Melbourne, AR R+65
- Boswell, AR R+71
- Brockwell, AR R+70
- Sage, AR R+69
- Franklin, AR R+66
- Lunenburg, AR R+63
- Oxford, AR R+70
- Knob Creek, AR R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Lynchburg, SC D+49
- Upper Mongaup, NY R+11
- Bairdstown, OH R+49
- Twin Branch, WV R+70
- Ekwok, AK D+27
- Quaker Hill, NY R+3
- Heavener Grove, WV R+64
- Moscow, KY R+65
- Sunbeam, CO R+70
- Dempsey, OK R+84
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.