Laurel Grove, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Laurel Grove

Laurel Grove is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.

 
Laurel Grove, VA block-group political-lean map
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About 78% of adults in Laurel Grove typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Laurel Grove, ~19% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

Laurel Grove, VA block-group voter-turnout map
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How Laurel Grove compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Laurel Grove leans more Republican than 70 of 76 neighbors.

Laurel Grove runs about 58 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Laurel Grove is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Laurel Grove leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Laurel Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 93% of residents in Laurel Grove drive to work alone, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Laurel Grove runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Paved land cover and Republican lean

Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Laurel Grove, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Laurel Grove looks the way it does

Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Laurel Grove own their home, about 14 points above the Virginia average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Cities with Similar Populations

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.