Little Machias leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 94% of adults in Little Machias typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Little Machias, ~38% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~6% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Little Machias compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Little Machias leans more Republican than 7 of 29 neighbors.
Little Machias runs about 28 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Little Machias is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Little Machias leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Little Machias, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Little Machias votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Little Machias runs about 28 points more Republican.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Little Machias, ME sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Little Machias looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Little Machias is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 98% of households in Little Machias own their home, compared to around 83% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Little Machias have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cutler, ME R+21
- Whiting, ME R+28
- Machiasport, ME R+23
- Bucks Harbor, ME R+23
- East Machias, ME R+29
- Jacksonville, ME R+30
- West Lubec, ME R+17
- South Lubec, ME R+17
- Kennebec, ME R+31
- Machias, ME R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- Koliganek, AK D+27
- Clio, IA R+58
- Staley Crossroads, VA R+60
- Millersview, TX R+80
- Tobin Location, MI R+31
- Doniphan, KS R+62
- Linnton, OR D+28
- Boulder City, MO R+72
- Patterson, TN R+46
- Nicholsville, AL R+50
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.