Laurence Harbor leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Laurence Harbor typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Laurence Harbor, ~38% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Laurence Harbor compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Laurence Harbor leans more Republican than 161 of 202 neighbors.
Laurence Harbor runs about 20 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while Laurence Harbor is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Laurence Harbor. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+21) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Laurence Harbor leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Laurence Harbor, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Laurence Harbor votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 48%, modestly below the New Jersey average of 61%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Laurence Harbor runs against the grain of New Jersey, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Laurence Harbor, NJ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Laurence Harbor looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Laurence Harbor have completed high school, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cliffwood, NJ D+18
- South Amboy, NJ R+13
- Matawan, NJ R+9
- Keyport, NJ R+6
- Madison Park, NJ D+17
- Parlin, NJ Even
- Strathmore, NJ R+11
- Hazlet, NJ R+26
- Union Beach, NJ R+24
- Sayreville, NJ D+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Milford, IN R+55
- Trenary, MI R+27
- Rosindale, NC Even
- East Baldwin, ME R+24
- Hartford City, WV R+62
- Prater, VA R+68
- Steubenville, IN R+55
- Childress, VA R+55
- Wise Forks, NC R+40
- Barclay, MD R+52
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.