East Baldwin leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 90% of adults in East Baldwin typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Baldwin, ~34% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How East Baldwin compares
Among cities within 25 miles, East Baldwin leans more Republican than 59 of 97 neighbors.
East Baldwin runs about 31 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while East Baldwin is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why East Baldwin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Baldwin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
East Baldwin votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while East Baldwin runs about 31 points more Republican.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; East Baldwin, ME sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in East Baldwin looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. East Baldwin is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- West Baldwin, ME R+24
- Sebago, ME R+22
- Steep Falls, ME R+21
- North Sebago, ME R+26
- Cornish, ME R+29
- Limington, ME R+39
- Hiram, ME R+29
- Durgintown, ME R+28
- Standish, ME R+9
- South Casco, ME D+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Prater, VA R+68
- Grapeville, PA R+22
- Trenary, MI R+27
- Rockdale, TN R+71
- Long View, KY R+46
- Laurence Harbor, NJ R+14
- Steubenville, IN R+55
- Walnut Grove, TN R+78
- Wise Forks, NC R+40
- Oldport, MI R+37
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.