Lawrence County is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Lawrence County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lawrence County, ~11% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lawrence County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Lawrence County leans more Republican than 10 of 13 neighbors.
Lawrence County runs about 38 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Why Lawrence County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lawrence County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Lawrence County, about 92% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Tennessee average of 22%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Lawrence County, TN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Lawrence County looks the way it does
Turnout in Lawrence County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Giles County, TN R+57
- Lewis County, TN R+67
- Wayne County, TN R+71
- Lauderdale County, AL R+47
- Maury County, TN R+39
- Marshall County, TN R+54
- Limestone County, AL R+45
- Colbert County, AL R+46
- Perry County, TN R+73
- Hickman County, TN R+67
Counties with Similar Populations
- Ravalli County, MT R+43
- Shenandoah County, VA R+44
- Holmes County, OH R+72
- Huntingdon County, PA R+46
- Siskiyou County, CA R+17
- Kendall County, TX R+49
- Callaway County, MO R+43
- Douglas County, WI Even
- Delaware County, NY R+17
- Kittitas County, WA R+8
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.