Shenandoah County leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Shenandoah County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Shenandoah County, ~22% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Shenandoah County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Shenandoah County leans more Republican than 12 of 18 neighbors.
Shenandoah County runs about 49 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Shenandoah County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Shenandoah County. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+57) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+38), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Shenandoah County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Shenandoah County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Shenandoah County votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Shenandoah County runs about 49 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Shenandoah County, VA sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Shenandoah County looks the way it does
Turnout in Shenandoah County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Page County, VA R+53
- Warren County, VA R+32
- Hardy County, WV R+61
- Rappahannock County, VA R+17
- Frederick County, VA R+25
- Winchester City, VA D+12
- Hampshire County, WV R+62
- Rockingham County, VA R+40
- Clarke County, VA R+18
- Harrisonburg City, VA D+18
Counties with Similar Populations
- Ravalli County, MT R+43
- Lawrence County, TN R+68
- Holmes County, OH R+72
- Kendall County, TX R+49
- Huntingdon County, PA R+46
- Callaway County, MO R+43
- Douglas County, WI Even
- Siskiyou County, CA R+17
- Delaware County, NY R+17
- Kittitas County, WA R+8
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.