Lawrence leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Lawrence typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lawrence, ~40% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lawrence compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lawrence leans more Democratic than 85 of 86 neighbors.
Lawrence runs about 49 points more Democratic than Indiana as a whole. Indiana leans Republican overall, while Lawrence is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lawrence. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+55) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 44 points.
Why Lawrence leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lawrence, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 91% of residents in Lawrence live in densely developed areas, about 55 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 40% of adults in Lawrence have never been married, above 93% of cities. Lawrence runs against the grain of Indiana, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Lawrence, IN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lawrence looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lawrence is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 32% of households in Lawrence rent, above 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- McCordsville, IN R+11
- Mount Comfort, IN R+29
- Cumberland, IN R+6
- Warren Park, IN D+36
- Gem, IN R+37
- Fishers, IN D+2
- Woodbury, IN R+49
- Mohawk, IN R+46
- Williams Creek, IN D+19
- Meridian Hills, IN D+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Urbana, IL D+52
- Snohomish, WA R+10
- St. Louis Park, MN D+51
- Parkway, CA D+35
- Haltom City, TX R+12
- Florence, KY R+19
- Bedford, TX R+6
- Princeton, FL R+10
- Grovetown, GA Even
- Bloomfield Hills, MI D+13
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Indiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.