Lawrence leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Lawrence typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lawrence, ~27% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lawrence compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lawrence leans more Republican than 40 of 69 neighbors.
Lawrence runs about 26 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why Lawrence leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Lawrence. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Lawrence, MI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lawrence looks the way it does
Turnout in Lawrence sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hartford, MI R+26
- McDonald, MI R+35
- Volinia, MI R+31
- Bangor, MI R+19
- Keeler, MI R+27
- Paw Paw, MI R+20
- Decatur, MI R+26
- Breedsville, MI R+31
- Toquin, MI R+23
- Watervliet, MI R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Le Center, MN R+34
- Ore City, TX R+63
- Brownsboro, AL R+37
- Brownsville, KY R+67
- Marshalls Creek, PA Even
- Simms, LA R+81
- Clarksville, VA R+26
- Locust Valley, NY R+16
- Hartly, DE R+44
- Brodhead, KY R+72
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.