Lead Hill is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Lead Hill typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lead Hill, ~9% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lead Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lead Hill leans more Republican than 47 of 60 neighbors.
Lead Hill runs about 37 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lead Hill. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+70) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+53), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Lead Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lead Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in Lead Hill hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the U.S. average of 28%. Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Non-Hispanic white share in Lead Hill is about 95%, well above similar-sized cities (around 80%). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Lead Hill are family households, above 85% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Lead Hill, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Lead Hill looks the way it does
Turnout in Lead Hill sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Diamond City, AR R+64
- Monarch, AR R+60
- Bergman, AR R+68
- Zinc, AR R+68
- Protem, MO R+70
- Peel, AR R+45
- Cedarcreek, MO R+70
- Lakeway, AR R+53
- Omaha, AR R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sweden Center, NY R+23
- Viola, AR R+68
- Chenequa, WI R+28
- Lamar, MS D+12
- Welch, OK R+69
- Vaughn, MT R+62
- Gloster, LA D+2
- Rossville, IL R+53
- Thayne, WY R+62
- White Sulphur Springs, MT R+58
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.