Leon County is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Leon County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Leon County, ~11% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Leon County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Leon County is the most Republican-leaning.
Leon County runs about 55 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Leon County. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+76) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+55), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Leon County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Leon County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 7% of residents in Leon County live in densely developed areas, about 28 points below the Texas average of 35%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Leon County, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Leon County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Leon County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Madison County, TX R+43
- Freestone County, TX R+56
- Houston County, TX R+41
- Limestone County, TX R+40
- Robertson County, TX R+35
- Anderson County, TX R+41
- Brazos County, TX D+6
- Walker County, TX R+20
- Trinity County, TX R+58
- Falls County, TX R+25
Counties with Similar Populations
- Grand County, CO R+6
- Jefferson County, GA D+5
- Carroll County, IL R+34
- Mercer County, IL R+33
- Aitkin County, MN R+33
- Henry County, KY R+51
- Osage County, KS R+49
- Jefferson County, IA R+4
- Pemiscot County, MO R+30
- Van Buren County, AR R+63
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.