Leonardtown leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Leonardtown typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Leonardtown, ~34% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Leonardtown compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Leonardtown leans more Republican than 47 of 99 neighbors.
Leonardtown runs about 48 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Leonardtown is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Leonardtown. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+25) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Leonardtown leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Leonardtown, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Leonardtown votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Leonardtown runs about 48 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Leonardtown, MD sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Leonardtown looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Leonardtown is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Potomac Shores, MD R+27
- Helen, MD R+17
- White Point Beach, MD R+24
- Compton, MD R+23
- Callaway, MD R+18
- Loveville, MD R+24
- Hollywood, MD R+26
- California, MD R+3
- Avenue, MD R+35
- Great Mills, MD D+16
Cities with Similar Populations
- Vernon, TX R+41
- Brandenburg, KY R+49
- Merriam, KS D+20
- Carroll, IA R+34
- Fairfield, IA D+14
- Romeo, MI R+32
- Beachwood, NJ R+33
- Hollywood, MD R+26
- Garnet Valley, PA Even
- Wapato, WA D+14
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.