Lily Dale leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Lily Dale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lily Dale, ~34% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lily Dale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lily Dale leans more Republican than 17 of 84 neighbors.
Lily Dale runs about 31 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Lily Dale is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Lily Dale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lily Dale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lily Dale votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Lily Dale runs about 31 points more Republican.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Lily Dale, NY does.
Why turnout in Lily Dale looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lily Dale is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 63% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cassadaga, NY R+31
- Shumla, NY R+31
- Stockton, NY R+35
- Lamberton, NY R+15
- Fredonia, NY D+14
- Charlotte Center, NY R+44
- Kabob, NY R+40
- Brocton, NY R+19
- Laona, NY R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Moon, VA R+43
- West Lima, WI R+22
- Stringtown, OH R+56
- Oscar, MO R+68
- Ralph, AR R+63
- Kendrick, MS R+80
- Coosa Pines, AL R+58
- Harrison, NE R+78
- Irondale, VA R+68
- Pine Apple, AL D+34
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.