Lincoln leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Lincoln typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lincoln, ~32% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lincoln compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lincoln leans more Republican than 28 of 78 neighbors.
Lincoln runs about 34 points more Republican than Delaware as a whole. Delaware leans Democratic overall, while Lincoln is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lincoln. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+2) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+35), a spread of about 37 points.
Why Lincoln leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lincoln, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 89% of residents in Lincoln drive to work alone, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Lincoln are family households, above 77% of cities. Lincoln runs against the grain of Delaware, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Lincoln, DE sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Lincoln looks the way it does
Turnout in Lincoln sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Milford, DE R+5
- Ellendale, DE R+25
- Slaughter Beach, DE R+17
- Mispillion Light, DE R+19
- Houston, DE R+36
- Primehook Beach, DE R+8
- Chestnut Knoll, DE R+21
- Redden, DE R+30
- Marvels Crossroads, DE R+37
- Farmington, DE R+43
Cities with Similar Populations
- West Glens Falls, NY R+13
- Pine City, MN R+35
- Churubusco, IN R+53
- Ocean Shores, WA D+11
- Wittmann, AZ R+52
- Hewlett, NY R+16
- Tompkinsville, KY R+66
- Calumet Park, IL D+81
- Califon, NJ R+9
- Helendale, CA R+29
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Delaware Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.