Lincolnville leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Lincolnville typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lincolnville, ~40% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lincolnville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lincolnville leans more Democratic than 46 of 50 neighbors.
Lincolnville runs about 37 points more Democratic than South Carolina as a whole. South Carolina leans Republican overall, while Lincolnville is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lincolnville. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+28) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+5), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Lincolnville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lincolnville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 60% of residents in Lincolnville live in densely developed areas, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 36%. Lincolnville runs against the grain of South Carolina, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Lincolnville, SC sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Lincolnville looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lincolnville is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Summerville, SC R+17
- Ladson, SC D+3
- Dorchester Estates, SC R+26
- Goose Creek, SC R+5
- Slandsville, SC R+29
- Jedburg, SC R+20
- Strawberry, SC R+22
- Long Ridge, SC R+19
- North Charleston, SC D+37
- Givhans, SC R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- La Plata, NM R+57
- Johnson, WA D+18
- Shokan, NY D+24
- Manassa, CO R+28
- Beckemeyer, IL R+52
- Princeville, NC D+83
- Wares Crossroads, VA R+39
- Reelsville, IN R+61
- Triana, AL D+24
- Kiona, WA R+54
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from South Carolina State Election Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.