Live Oak leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 44% of adults in Live Oak typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Live Oak, ~16% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Live Oak compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Live Oak leans more Republican than 12 of 37 neighbors.
Live Oak runs about 47 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Live Oak is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Live Oak. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+51) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+19), a spread of about 33 points.
Why Live Oak leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Live Oak, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Live Oak votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 36%, well below the California average of 58%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Live Oak are family households, above 84% of cities. Live Oak runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Live Oak, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Live Oak looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Live Oak is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 30% of households in Live Oak rent, above 85% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 24% of adults in Live Oak report food insecurity, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lomo, CA R+40
- Pennington, CA R+51
- Gridley, CA R+30
- Robinsons Corner, CA R+46
- Sutter, CA R+47
- Marysville, CA R+12
- Biggs, CA R+49
- Yuba City, CA R+20
- Linda, CA R+9
- Loma Rica, CA R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Arden Hills, MN D+31
- Rye Brook, NY D+19
- Salem, IL R+52
- Wingate, NC R+10
- Fort Wainwright, AK R+22
- Bushkill, PA D+3
- North Chelmsford, MA D+10
- Umatilla, FL R+54
- Sullivan, MO R+53
- Southborough, MA D+31
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.