Fort Wainwright leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 32% of adults in Fort Wainwright typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fort Wainwright, ~12% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~68% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fort Wainwright compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fort Wainwright leans more Republican than 7 of 11 neighbors.
Fort Wainwright runs about 9 points more Republican than Alaska as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Fort Wainwright. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+33) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Fort Wainwright leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fort Wainwright, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 83% of households in Fort Wainwright are family households, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Fort Wainwright, AK sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Fort Wainwright looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Fort Wainwright is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 96% of households in Fort Wainwright rent, compared to around 29% in nearby cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 98% of adults in Fort Wainwright have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- South Van Horn, AK R+19
- Fairbanks, AK D+5
- Farmers Loop, AK R+18
- College, AK Even
- Steele Creek, AK R+27
- Badger, AK R+25
- North Pole, AK R+17
- Ester, AK D+21
- Eielson Afb, AK R+19
- Pleasant Valley, AK R+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- North Chelmsford, MA D+10
- Sullivan, MO R+53
- Southborough, MA D+31
- Salem, IL R+52
- Rye Brook, NY D+19
- Liberty, NC R+45
- Arden Hills, MN D+31
- Live Oak, CA R+27
- Sutherlin, OR R+34
- Wingate, NC R+10
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.