Umatilla is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Umatilla typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Umatilla, ~18% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Umatilla compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Umatilla leans more Republican than 47 of 58 neighbors.
Umatilla runs about 41 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Umatilla. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+62) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+46), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Umatilla leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Umatilla, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Umatilla votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 22%, far below the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Umatilla, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Umatilla looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Umatilla is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Silver Beach Heights, FL R+59
- Grand Island, FL R+43
- Altoona, FL R+58
- Eustis, FL R+26
- Orange Bend, FL R+41
- Mount Dora, FL R+17
- Tavares, FL R+26
- Paisley, FL R+62
- Sorrento, FL R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bushkill, PA D+3
- Wingate, NC R+10
- Live Oak, CA R+27
- Arden Hills, MN D+31
- Rye Brook, NY D+19
- Salem, IL R+52
- La Center, WA R+31
- North Chelmsford, MA D+10
- Fort Wainwright, AK R+22
- Sullivan, MO R+53
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.