Lockwood leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 31% of adults in Lockwood typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lockwood, ~10% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~69% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lockwood compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lockwood leans more Republican than 6 of 8 neighbors.
Lockwood runs about 54 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Lockwood is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lockwood. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Lockwood leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lockwood, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Lockwood live in densely developed areas, about 56 points below the California average of 58%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Lockwood are family households, above 86% of cities. Lockwood runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Lockwood, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lockwood looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 31% of households in Lockwood rent, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 4% of homes in Lockwood have more than one occupant per room, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bryson, CA R+25
- Jolon, CA R+28
- San Lucas, CA R+15
- San Ardo, CA R+41
- Bradley, CA R+36
- King City, CA D+14
- Gorda, CA R+21
- San Simeon, CA D+5
- Cambria, CA D+25
- Greenfield, CA D+28
Cities with Similar Populations
- Speedway, WV R+59
- Alpine, TN R+72
- Rockford, WV R+59
- Chapin, NY R+18
- Kendrick, ID R+62
- Long Lake, NY Even
- Willow Hill, IL R+68
- Sunnyside, NC R+53
- Westfir, OR R+26
- Ponsford, MN D+6
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.