Locust Hill leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 89% of adults in Locust Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Locust Hill, ~31% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Locust Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Locust Hill leans more Republican than 44 of 94 neighbors.
Locust Hill runs about 37 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Locust Hill is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Locust Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Locust Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Locust Hill votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Locust Hill runs about 37 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Locust Hill, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Locust Hill looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Locust Hill is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Locust Hill own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Stormont, VA R+30
- Topping, VA R+31
- Freeport, VA R+42
- Hartfield, VA R+32
- Wake, VA R+30
- Saluda, VA R+30
- Urbanna, VA R+25
- Harcum, VA R+40
- Glenns, VA R+43
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tulare, SD R+57
- Lakeside, TN R+66
- Coal, MO R+66
- Beech Bottom, WV R+48
- Raywood, TX R+21
- Critz, VA R+55
- Trenton, UT R+71
- Bethel, MO R+72
- Greenmount, PA R+33
- Level Green, PA R+36
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.