Louisville is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Louisville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Louisville, ~35% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Louisville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Louisville sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 35 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 4 leaning the other way.
Louisville runs about 25 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Louisville sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Louisville. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+51) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+43), a spread of about 94 points.
Why Louisville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Louisville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Louisville votes against the grain of Mississippi. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Louisville runs about 25 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Louisville, MS sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Louisville looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Louisville is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 8%, about 52 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Handle, MS R+44
- Estes, MS R+17
- McMillan, MS D+16
- Highpoint, MS D+38
- Noxapater, MS R+29
- Claytown, MS R+50
- Vernon, MS R+55
- Morgantown, MS R+54
- Stallo, MS R+6
- McCool, MS R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Progress, PA D+33
- St. Robert, MO R+29
- Pagosa Springs, CO R+12
- Seminole, OK R+49
- Stonegate, CO R+4
- Walkersville, MD R+3
- College Place, WA R+3
- Cranbury, NJ D+23
- North Wantagh, NY R+25
- Orosi, CA D+10
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.