Lower Clinton Hill is a Democratic stronghold. About 89% of voters here vote Democratic and 11% Republican.
About 43% of adults in Lower Clinton Hill typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lower Clinton Hill, ~38% vote Democratic, ~5% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lower Clinton Hill compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Lower Clinton Hill leans more Democratic than 18 of 21 neighbors.
Lower Clinton Hill runs about 73 points more Democratic than New Jersey as a whole.
Why Lower Clinton Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lower Clinton Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Lower Clinton Hill live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 61% of adults in Lower Clinton Hill have never been married, above 94% of neighborhoods.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Lower Clinton Hill, Newark, NJ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Lower Clinton Hill looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lower Clinton Hill is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 87% of households in Lower Clinton Hill rent, about 62 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 39% of adults in Lower Clinton Hill report food insecurity, above 93% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Upper Clinton Hill, Newark, NJ D+80
- South Broad Street, Newark, NJ D+63
- Weequahic, Newark, NJ D+81
- Springfield-Belmont, Newark, NJ D+77
- South Ironbound, Newark, NJ D+25
- Central Business District, Newark, NJ D+72
- University Heights, Newark, NJ D+67
- Fairmuont, Newark, NJ D+73
- Upper Vailsburg, Newark, NJ D+80
- North Ironbound, Newark, NJ D+5
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Southdale, Edina, MN D+48
- Cannongate-Orlando, Oak Ridge, FL D+33
- Mayo Meadow, Tulsa, OK D+18
- Chandler Park, Detroit, MI D+87
- Fisher-Mill Plain-Fisher's Village, Vancouver, WA D+3
- Ashbrook-Clawson Village, Charlotte, NC D+27
- Northside, Missoula, MT D+34
- Kirkman South, Orlando, FL D+8
- Hale, Minneapolis, MN D+76
- 1st Ward, Allentown, PA D+30
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.