Kirkman South leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Kirkman South typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kirkman South, ~25% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kirkman South compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Kirkman South is the least Democratic-leaning.
Kirkman South runs about 21 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Kirkman South is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Kirkman South. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+25) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (Even), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Kirkman South leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kirkman South, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Kirkman South votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Kirkman South runs about 21 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Kirkman South, Orlando, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Kirkman South looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Kirkman South is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Florida Center, Orlando, FL D+21
- Florida Center North, Orlando, FL D+24
- Metro West, Orlando, FL D+20
- Kirkman North, Orlando, FL D+53
- Camellia Gardens, Orlando, FL D+57
- Millenia, Orlando, FL D+34
- Richmond Heights-Orlando, Orlando, FL D+83
- Cannongate-Orlando, Oak Ridge, FL D+33
- Park Central, Orlando, FL D+37
- Tymber Skan on the Lake, Orlando, FL D+43
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Hale, Minneapolis, MN D+76
- Ashbrook-Clawson Village, Charlotte, NC D+27
- Mayo Meadow, Tulsa, OK D+18
- Chandler Park, Detroit, MI D+87
- Southdale, Edina, MN D+48
- Lower Clinton Hill, Newark, NJ D+79
- Cannongate-Orlando, Oak Ridge, FL D+33
- Dudley, Camden, NJ D+48
- Northside, Missoula, MT D+34
- Marrion, Vancouver, WA D+15
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.