Lower Elk Creek, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Lower Elk Creek

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Lower Elk Creek is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.

 

About 69% of adults in Lower Elk Creek typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lower Elk Creek, ~13% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Lower Elk Creek compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Lower Elk Creek leans more Republican than 41 of 77 neighbors.

Lower Elk Creek runs about 68 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Lower Elk Creek is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Lower Elk Creek leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lower Elk Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Lower Elk Creek votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Lower Elk Creek runs about 68 points more Republican.

Preventive-care access and voter turnout

Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lower Elk Creek, VA sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.

Why turnout in Lower Elk Creek looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lower Elk Creek is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.