Lower Stanley, ID Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Lower Stanley

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Lower Stanley leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.

 

About 59% of adults in Lower Stanley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lower Stanley, ~24% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Lower Stanley compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Lower Stanley leans more Republican than 2 of 4 neighbors.

Lower Stanley runs about 19 points more Democratic than Idaho as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lower Stanley. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+3) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+45), a spread of about 47 points.

Why Lower Stanley leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lower Stanley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in Lower Stanley live in densely developed areas, about 17 points below the Idaho average of 18%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Lower Stanley are family households, above 80% of cities.

Developed land and Republican lean

Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Lower Stanley, ID sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Lower Stanley looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lower Stanley is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Idaho Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.