Stanley is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Stanley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stanley, ~31% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stanley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Stanley sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 1 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 2 leaning the other way.
Stanley runs about 39 points more Democratic than Idaho as a whole. Idaho leans Republican overall, while Stanley sits closer to the political middle.
Why Stanley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stanley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Stanley votes against the grain of Idaho. Idaho leans Republican overall, while Stanley runs about 39 points more Democratic.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Stanley, ID sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Stanley looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. Stanley sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lower Stanley, ID R+17
- Torreys, ID D+3
- Atlanta, ID R+52
- Obsidian, ID D+10
- Lowman, ID R+45
- Clayton, ID R+52
- Challis, ID R+59
- Pioneerville, ID R+51
- Ketchum, ID D+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sattre, IA R+28
- Dellwood, WI R+28
- Martinsdale, MT R+62
- Flowell, UT R+74
- Isabel, SD R+37
- Gum Sulphur, KY R+71
- Wana, WV R+59
- Orr, KY R+67
- Lakecreek, OR R+17
- Fifty-Six, AR R+64
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Idaho Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.