Lucas is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Lucas typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lucas, ~6% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lucas compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lucas leans more Republican than 38 of 55 neighbors.
Lucas runs about 42 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Lucas leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lucas, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in Lucas hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Arkansas average of 18%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Lucas sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 81% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 85% of households in Lucas are family households, above 96% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lucas, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Lucas looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lucas is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 12 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Boothe, AR R+70
- Elm Park, AR R+72
- Milltown, AR R+75
- Mansfield, AR R+68
- Washburn, AR R+75
- Carolan, AR R+73
- Hon, AR R+76
- Huntington, AR R+70
- Booneville, AR R+65
Cities with Similar Populations
- Furnessville, IN R+15
- Wyarno, WY R+72
- Geeslin Corner, MS R+60
- Garden Village, WI R+12
- Goodwine, IL R+66
- Medical Springs, OR R+61
- Standardsburg, OH R+55
- Brooklyn, AL D+52
- Mount Carmel, UT R+60
- Simms, CA R+45
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.