Lucia is a Democratic stronghold. About 79% of voters here vote Democratic and 21% Republican.
About 44% of adults in Lucia typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lucia, ~35% vote Democratic, ~9% Republican, and ~56% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lucia compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lucia leans more Democratic than 3 of 5 neighbors.
Lucia runs about 38 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lucia. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+62) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+6), a spread of about 55 points.
Why Lucia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lucia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 46% of adults in Lucia hold a bachelor's degree, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 47% of adults in Lucia have never been married, above 97% of cities.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Lucia, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lucia looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 57% of households in Lucia rent, about 32 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of homes in Lucia have more than one occupant per room, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Gorda, CA R+21
- Posts, CA D+62
- Big Sur, CA D+61
- Jamesburg, CA D+3
- Jolon, CA R+28
- Greenfield, CA D+28
- King City, CA D+14
- Metz, CA R+3
- Lockwood, CA R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Scoville, KY R+71
- Tecumseh, AL R+84
- Ashly, LA R+70
- Quick, WV R+65
- Wading River, NJ R+38
- Bronco, TX R+71
- Johnstown, ND R+48
- Waterboro, NY R+49
- Lynn Grove, KY R+58
- New Wells, MO R+71
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.