Lumber is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Lumber typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lumber, ~8% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lumber compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lumber leans more Republican than 37 of 47 neighbors.
Lumber runs about 35 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lumber. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+75) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+20), a spread of about 54 points.
Why Lumber leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lumber, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 88% of residents in Lumber drive to work alone, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Lumber, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Lumber looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 22% of adults in Lumber report food insecurity, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Lumber sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Waldo, AR R+21
- Dodson, AR R+53
- Buckner, AR R+60
- Stamps, AR Even
- Partee, AR D+24
- Magnolia, AR R+6
- Falcon, AR R+65
- McNeil, AR R+20
- McKamie, AR R+48
- Free Hope, AR R+49
Cities with Similar Populations
- Maryville, IA R+40
- Port Costa, CA D+36
- Polk, MO R+69
- Empire, OH R+54
- Harlingen, NJ D+22
- Scraper, OK R+50
- Phillips, OK R+72
- Naper, NE R+75
- Duckrun, KY R+78
- Greenleaf, MN R+47
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.