Lyells leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Lyells typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lyells, ~31% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lyells compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lyells leans more Republican than 35 of 118 neighbors.
Lyells runs about 16 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Lyells is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lyells. The north side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+34), a spread of about 34 points.
Why Lyells leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lyells, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Lyells votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Lyells runs about 16 points more Republican.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Lyells, VA sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Lyells looks the way it does
Turnout in Lyells sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Oldhams, VA D+7
- Warsaw, VA R+29
- Ethel, VA R+38
- Farmers Fork, VA R+39
- Haynesville, VA R+24
- Templeman, VA D+7
- Kennard, VA R+29
- Hinnom, VA D+7
- Hyacinth, VA R+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gnatville, AL R+85
- Rosine, KY R+70
- South Kingstown, RI D+15
- Seibert, CO R+73
- Deer Mill, IN R+61
- Ten Mile, MO R+69
- West Ellsworth, ME D+12
- Buttonwood, PA R+66
- Bunola, PA R+39
- Danvers, MN R+39
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.