Lynchburg leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Lynchburg typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lynchburg, ~23% vote Democratic, ~65% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lynchburg compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lynchburg leans more Republican than 34 of 38 neighbors.
Lynchburg runs about 11 points more Republican than North Dakota as a whole.
Why Lynchburg leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lynchburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Lynchburg sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 8 points above the North Dakota average of 87%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Lynchburg, ND sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lynchburg looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lynchburg is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Chaffee, ND R+44
- Wheatland, ND R+49
- Casselton, ND R+41
- Woods, ND R+46
- Davenport, ND R+46
- Leonard, ND R+45
- Mapleton, ND R+41
- Warren, ND R+47
- Kindred, ND R+47
- Absaraka, ND R+46
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cawood, MO R+61
- Sile, NM D+53
- Tallapoosa City, AL R+48
- Westford, PA R+46
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.