Malvern leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Malvern typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Malvern, ~16% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Malvern compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Malvern leans more Republican than 14 of 54 neighbors.
Malvern runs about 9 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Malvern. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+67) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+12), a spread of about 55 points.
Why Malvern leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Malvern, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Malvern votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 37%, well above the Arkansas average of 13%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Malvern, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Malvern looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Malvern is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 50%, about 10 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 31% of households in Malvern rent, above 86% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 21% of adults in Malvern report food insecurity, above 84% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rockport, AR R+54
- Perla, AR R+18
- Jones Mill, AR R+63
- Butterfield, AR R+64
- Gifford, AR R+65
- Jones Mills, AR R+63
- Magnet Cove, AR R+68
- Traskwood, AR R+69
- Glen Rose, AR R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Brook Park, OH R+9
- Exton, PA D+22
- Mckinleyville, CA D+24
- Rutland, VT D+3
- Red Hill, SC R+19
- Floresville, TX R+37
- East Rancho Dominguez, CA D+43
- Foothill Ranch, CA D+7
- Brooklyn, MD D+59
- Avenel, NJ D+21
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.