Avenel, NJ Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Avenel

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Avenel leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.

 

About 56% of adults in Avenel typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Avenel, ~33% vote Democratic, ~22% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Avenel compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Avenel leans more Democratic than 182 of 244 neighbors.

Avenel runs about 15 points more Democratic than New Jersey as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Avenel. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+41) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+2), a spread of about 39 points.

Why Avenel leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Avenel, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 95% of residents in Avenel live in densely developed areas, about 59 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Avenel sits in the top quarter (about 37%, above 85% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 36% of adults in Avenel have never been married, above 88% of cities.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Avenel, NJ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Avenel looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Avenel is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 59% of households in Avenel rent, compared to around 31% in nearby cities. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 8% of homes in Avenel have more than one occupant per room, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.