Manila, CA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Manila

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Manila leans heavily Democratic by roughly 34 points: about 67% of voters vote Democratic and 33% Republican.

 

About 49% of adults in Manila typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Manila, ~33% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Manila compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Manila leans more Democratic than 16 of 25 neighbors.

Manila runs about 14 points more Democratic than California as a whole.

Why Manila leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Manila, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 39% of adults in Manila hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 37% of adults in Manila have never been married, above 91% of cities.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Manila, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Manila looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 47% of households in Manila rent, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 6% of homes in Manila have more than one occupant per room, above 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.