St. Xavier leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 67% of adults in St. Xavier typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in St. Xavier, ~23% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How St. Xavier compares
Among cities within 25 miles, St. Xavier is the most Republican-leaning.
St. Xavier runs about 10 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within St. Xavier. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+32), a spread of about 37 points.
Why St. Xavier leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for St. Xavier, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 1% of residents in St. Xavier live in densely developed areas, about 12 points below the Montana average of 13%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; St. Xavier, MT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in St. Xavier looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in St. Xavier own their home, about 15 points above the Montana average of 77%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and St. Xavier sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Yellowtail, MT R+28
- Garryowen, MT D+37
- Crow Agency, MT D+28
- Lodge Grass, MT D+26
- Hardin, MT R+18
- Wyola, MT D+5
- Kirby, MT D+7
- Pompeys Pillar, MT R+68
- Pryor, MT R+13
- Parkman, WY R+62
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Era, GA R+28
- Gum Springs, AL R+80
- Priestley, WV R+59
- Gilark, LA R+77
- Golden City, AR R+73
- Turnertown, TX R+60
- Hickory Hill, AR R+56
- Island View, MI R+35
- Delta, LA R+73
- Louisburg, WI R+38
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.