Manquin leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Manquin typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Manquin, ~25% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Manquin compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Manquin leans more Republican than 89 of 97 neighbors.
Manquin runs about 47 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Manquin is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Manquin. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+49) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+35), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Manquin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Manquin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Manquin votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Manquin runs about 47 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Manquin, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Manquin looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Manquin is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Manquin have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Aylett, VA R+42
- Etna Mills, VA R+35
- Old Church, VA R+50
- King William, VA R+41
- Upshaw, VA R+34
- Mangohick, VA R+32
- Keith, VA R+34
- Crosses Corner, VA R+28
- Walkerton, VA R+36
- St. Stephens Church, VA R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fort Greely, AK R+43
- Stockbridge, MA D+58
- Hancock, NH D+19
- Point Reyes Station, CA D+46
- Nooksack, WA R+32
- Dix, IL R+59
- Royalton, IL R+52
- Ransom Canyon, TX R+61
- Coupland, TX R+28
- Montrose, IA R+41
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.