Martindale leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Martindale typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Martindale, ~18% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Martindale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Martindale leans more Republican than 22 of 42 neighbors.
Martindale runs about 11 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Martindale. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+47) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 39 points.
Why Martindale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Martindale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in Martindale drive to work alone, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Martindale, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Martindale looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Martindale is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 11 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 32% of households in Martindale rent, above 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Reedville, TX R+9
- Maxwell, TX R+13
- Staples, TX R+41
- Redwood, TX R+8
- San Marcos, TX D+20
- Fentress, TX R+28
- Hays, TX R+14
- Zorn, TX R+41
- Prairie Lea, TX R+34
- Uhland, TX D+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lumpkin, GA Even
- Morris, OK R+56
- Chiloquin, OR R+45
- East Canton, OH R+34
- Camden, MI R+59
- Middleburg, VA D+11
- Ulster Park, NY D+11
- Freeport, MI R+46
- Highspire, PA D+7
- Butler, AL R+25
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.