Mayfield leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Mayfield typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mayfield, ~31% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mayfield compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mayfield leans more Republican than 28 of 134 neighbors.
Mayfield runs about 13 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Mayfield leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mayfield, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Mayfield votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 29%, about 7 points below the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Mayfield, PA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Mayfield looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Mayfield is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Mayfield have completed high school, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Jermyn, PA R+13
- Childs, PA R+18
- Archbald, PA R+4
- Carbondale, PA R+12
- Scott, PA R+25
- Dundaff, PA R+21
- Jessup, PA D+3
- Blakely, PA Even
- Tompkinsville, PA R+26
- Olyphant, PA R+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rush, KY R+63
- Paragon, IN R+63
- Malaga, NJ R+28
- Neligh, NE R+60
- Garnerville, NY R+5
- Fultonville, NY R+41
- Holderness, NH D+13
- Harvard, TX R+60
- Sequatchie, TN R+71
- Glen Ellen, CA D+54
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.